Market structure
Three timeframes. One thesis.
4H establishes direction, 1H confirms the move, and 15m improves execution. Lower timeframes never overrule the higher-timeframe structure.
DXY regime
Risk-on
-0.31%
Dollar weakening · 58m old
VIX
16.84
-4.2%
Risk appetite supportive
US 10Y
3.78%
-3 bps
Daily official observation
ETF net flow
+$214m
BTC
Admin-approved import
Bullish structure
BTC / USDT
$110,842.4+1.84%
4H1H15m
RSI 14
58.4
MACD
Bull cross
EMA stack
20 > 50 > 200
Volume z
+1.2
Mixed structure
ETH / USDT
$4,286.18-0.42%
4H1H15m
RSI 14
47.1
MACD
Flat
EMA stack
Mixed
Volume z
-0.4
Evidence alignment
01
4H · Direction
Higher highs and higher lows above EMA 200. Major support at $107.8k.
02
1H · Confirmation
RSI recovered through 50; MACD crossed positive with expanding histogram.
03
15m · Execution
Wait for a retest. No entry while price is extended beyond 1 ATR.